HomePerformanceSubscribeSample SignalEducationContactDisclaimer
Risk
← Back to Education
Why ARIA Recommends 0.5% Risk Per Trade, The Math Explained
HARUNA SALIFU6 MIN READRISK

Most traders who blow accounts didn't lose because their analysis was wrong. They lost because when they were wrong, they were wrong with too much money. Position sizing is the single most important factor in long-term survival, and most new traders completely ignore it.

The 0.5% Rule

ARIA recommends risking 0.5% of your account on every single trade, regardless of conviction level. That means on a $1,000 account, your maximum loss per trade is $5. On a $10,000 account, it's $50. This sounds conservative. That's the point.

"A 5R win is meaningless if a previous 10% risk loss wiped your motivation to keep trading. Stay in the game first."

The Math, What 0.5% Risk Actually Produces

AccountRisk/Trade (0.5%)TP1 Return (5R)TP2 Return (7R)
$500$2.50$12.50$17.50
$1,000$5.00$25.00$35.00
$5,000$25.00$125.00$175.00
$10,000$50.00$250.00$350.00
$25,000$125.00$625.00$875.00

Why Not Risk More When Conviction Is High?

Even Phase A signals lose sometimes. A 70% win rate means 30% of trades are losses. If you size up on conviction and hit a loss streak, the damage compounds fast. At 0.5% risk, you can lose 10 consecutive trades and still have 95% of your account. At 5% risk, 10 losses leaves you with 60%. The math is brutal at high risk, and kind at low risk.

How to Calculate Your Lot Size

  • Take your account balance and multiply by 0.005, that's your max risk in dollars
  • Look at the SL distance in the ARIA signal (in pips)
  • Divide your max risk by (pip value × SL pips) to get your lot size
  • Premium subscribers can use the /calc command on Telegram for instant calculations

"The goal isn't to make the most on one trade. It's to still be trading in six months."

Next: How to Execute → All Articles

⚠ Haruna Salifu provides signals and educational insights through ARIA Trading Lab. All forex trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Subscribers accept full responsibility for all trading decisions. Full Disclaimer →